CV Update May 17, 2020

Welcome to the next CV19 update.  Glad many people have appreciated these updates. It keeps me focused on what is important too. This week I’m focusing health and safety in light of re-opening beginning.

We are at a point in our collective experience where the adrenaline is waning and emotion surfaces more strongly about what is happening and where we go from here.

In brief the real stats are very under-reported and vigilant cleaning and distancing practices are needed. People will have varying standards of what that means and should plan to act accordingly.

In this update you will find the following:

  1. Where is virus spreading
  2. Warm weather impact on virus spread
  3. Important info on keeping clean and safe
  4. Personal reflections on an epic disaster

Where is virus spreading

We designed a customized statistics dashboard to be informed where the most need exists by county for the entire U.S.  As I mentioned previously, I’m working on a project to help COVID front line workers by offering crowdsourced RVs. This tool will help us optimize resources offered thru RVMatchMaker.ORG.

You are getting this special view into what we are working on. I thought you would find this insight helpful. This is view of county stats in California last updated on 5/2/20.
This tool is in draft form.  We won’t be sharing facility specific data and in fact it is difficult to obtain nationwide, due to variations in reporting.

The crowdsourced RV project will help with vector control, because frontline workers carry the highest viral load. If you want to volunteer some time on this important COVID project, we would be delighted!  You can contact us here. (We would especially love help with press management, legal review, and guiding people to resources on social media that have questions.)

A unique US county map of COVID cases which was created for us in the same vein of reporting logic. There’s over 3,100 counties in the US, so that’s a heck of a lot of daily data to slice thru.

Warm weather impact on virus spread

With businesses re-opening and summer fast approaching, the question we are all asking is how safe are we to do so?

Notable institutions like Harvard and MIT created a collaborating working paper to answer the question. They examined 3,739 locations worldwide to determine the “relative covid-19 risk due to weather.” They found that average temperatures above 77 degrees are associated with a reduction in virus transmission.

Each additional 1.8-degree temperature increase above that level was associated with an additional 3.1 percent reduction in the virus’s reproduction number, called R0. (Pronounced “R naught”) That is the average number of new infections generated by each infected person. When the R0 drops below 1, an epidemic begins to wane, although it doesn’t happen overnight. Here’s the reference.

That correlated with data I saw almost 2 months ago. The CDC has been tracking virus seasonality by US Census for a long time. This shows you the variation by region of the country. Take a look at what happens when fall begins.

It is my opinion that the virus won’t stop spreading over the summer, but the viral load will decline.  When daily temperatures drop below 77 degrees we can expect a very fierce surge of this virus that will cripple the economy globally for 6 months. How do you think you are going to prepare for that? I’d sincerely like to know your thoughts. Please tell me your thoughts here.

Important info on keeping clean and safe

How long the virus persists on surfaces depends on what kind of surface it is. Studies found that the virus lived longest on stainless steel and polypropylene, which is a type of plastic used in everything from toys to car parts. Soft surfaces tended to be less hospital to the longevity of the virus.

Where the virus survives and how to clean surfaces is critical to know.  One issue I see people SCREWING UP CONSTANTLY is the length of time a disinfectant is left on the surface. — The surface should be wet for at least a minute, and with bleach even longer.  Read this very valuable article!!! And for more information here is CDC guidance for cleaning your environment.

Below is a video that demonstrates how easily the virus spreads and the opinion of WHO on the future transmission risks.

UV-C spectrum lights are very helpful for destroying the virus. There are 3 UV spectrums.  However UV-C is very dangerous to the skin and can cause eye cataracts. If you use this light, it works work great, but stay out of the room while it is in use.  UV-C is most effective on solid surfaces and not great on soft surfaces where particles can hide. This video explains how the lights work.

Beware of the fake LEDs on Amazon. Real UV-C bulbs are mercury vapor tubes. Real UV-C will cause bananas to brown very fast, so that’s a good test at home to know if it works.

An important note about masks, there are many kinds. It is thought to be the primary means of defense after face shields. Their efficacy varies widely, so read up and consider what is best for your situation. It is interesting to note that moist heat of rice cookers is a more effective way to decontaminate masks than dry heat.

Personal reflections on an epic disaster

Unlike the 5 years of fire storm recoveries I’ve witnessed in California, there is no neighboring community to escape to in this disaster. We have to find refuge from within ourselves, in gratitude and love.  — These are the most precious things we have when everything else is lost.

With practice it gets easier to “do disasters”, but it’s NEVER easy. Uncertainty creates anxiety, which in turn affects how we sleep and feel in our daily lives.

I personally hoped to use this forced time for sheltering to work on pet projects, develop skills or relationships, but instead I’ve been working on creating a crowdsourced RV platform to help front-line workers reduce COVID spread.

The EXTREME fatigue I feel now is because my mind won’t unwind and allow me to sleep properly for the past 2 weeks. I’m being denied a major surgery right now and I have to live with impaired lung function during this pandemic. There’s more challenges I face that I imagine would humble most people that are struggling with their new normal. I may share those with you later… or not.

…But I can share these words with you now and hope you find some strength in these thoughts I offer you.

Wishing you well ~ Kimberly

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